Steel-Cabbage
0x84f5aa7d7ff5efc1b46f74ea507e04278d9d0221
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$141.38
Total PnL
$-30.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
140 shares @ 83.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$119.75
$3.50
- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
151 shares @ 13.3¢·now 12.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$18.82
$-1.18
- YES
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
31 shares @ 13.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.31
$-1.69
- YES
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by December 31?
45 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
26 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?
16 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran before 2026?$0.00Mar 22, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$116.25Mar 6, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?$5.00Mar 1, 23:22 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$29.55Feb 28, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$23.58Feb 28, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$23.08Feb 28, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMPutin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?$0.00Jan 30, 21:58 UTC
- REDEEMPutin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?$0.00Jan 30, 21:58 UTC
- REDEEMPutin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?$0.00Jan 30, 21:58 UTC
- REDEEMPutin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?$0.00Jan 30, 21:58 UTC
- REDEEMPutin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?$0.00Jan 30, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?$5.00Jan 25, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.00Jan 25, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$20.00Jan 25, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$20.00Jan 25, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?$4.00Nov 22, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?$1.00Nov 22, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$3.00Nov 22, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLLecornu out as French PM by December 31?$8.80Nov 16, 05:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit France in 2025?$2.84Nov 4, 13:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $11.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 11:01 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 22, 18:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".