Imaginary-Atmosphere
0x84f798b7afa8032faa8e6a834f287ee68808bc39
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-53.58
Realised
$-0.74
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on February 20?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on February 19?
62 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C or higher on February 20?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on February 22?
20 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on February 21?
20 shares @ 52.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C on February 20?
15 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on February 21?
15 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on February 21?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C on February 21?
10 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on February 21?
10 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 22?$5.00Feb 26, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on February 22?$5.00Feb 26, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on February 22?$10.20Feb 26, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on February 22?$1.00Feb 22, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on February 22?$1.43Feb 22, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on February 22?$0.17Feb 22, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 22?$2.95Feb 22, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 22?$3.00Feb 22, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on February 22?$2.75Feb 22, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on February 22?$10.00Feb 22, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on February 22?$2.25Feb 22, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on February 22?$2.20Feb 22, 10:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on February 21?$5.00Feb 22, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C or higher on February 21?$5.00Feb 22, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$5.00Feb 22, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on February 21?$5.00Feb 22, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on February 21?$5.35Feb 22, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 21?$10.00Feb 22, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on February 21?$1.90Feb 21, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on February 21?$4.99Feb 21, 17:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $2.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 17:10 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 26, 13:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.