Sparkling-Smell
0x84ff8f0e49a530f5f3e518d7b708df3d3a9339f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-782.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Israel military action against Iraq before November?
19514 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-97.57
- YES
Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross between $53-61m opening weekend?
4750 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2024$0.00
$-174.57
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?
2184 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2024$0.00
$-97.99
- NO
Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross between $45-53m opening weekend?
1118 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2024$0.00
$-22.36
- YES
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?
1000 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2024$0.00
$-33.99
- NO
Will Trump say "missile defense shield" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?
1000 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2024$0.00
$-80.00
- NO
Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?
891 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2025$0.00
$-97.99
- NO
Will Trump say "McDonald's" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?
500 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2024$0.00
$-42.83
- YES
Will Trump say "tampon" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?
500 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2024$0.00
$-20.61
- NO
Will Trump say "women's sports" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?
500 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2024$0.00
$-33.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?$97.99Jan 2, 15:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "America" five or more times in his speech after the election is called?$67.89Nov 8, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "America" five or more times in his speech after the election is called?$34.52Nov 8, 00:58 UTC
- REWARD$0.75Nov 8, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" five or more times in his speech after the election is called?$88.18Nov 7, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Pennsylvania" in his speech after the election is called?$296.21Nov 7, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Pennsylvania" in his speech after the election is called?$45.00Nov 7, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Pennsylvania" in his speech after the election is called?$46.97Nov 7, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Pennsylvania" in his speech after the election is called?$215.66Nov 7, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called?$113.25Nov 7, 03:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called?$10.00Nov 7, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called?$10.00Nov 7, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called?$10.54Nov 7, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called?$26.37Nov 7, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called?$45.50Nov 7, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called?$99.39Nov 6, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?$6.27Nov 6, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?$5.16Nov 6, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?$0.49Nov 6, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Wisconsin" 20 or more times during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?$28.33Nov 1, 16:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $39.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 27, 05:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 2, 15:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".