Shallow-Pedal
0x84ff925af72ca6ddb9e43f4fc3108557f480a196
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$349.56
Total PnL
$12.37
Realised
$9.09
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 18?
130 shares @ 95.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$130.14
$6.38
- NO
Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on December 15?
118 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$118.31
$1.30
- NO
Will Medline not IPO by December 31, 2025?
83 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$83.02
$1.41
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 23?
18 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$18.09
$1.27
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 19?
143 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on December 17?
138 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.64
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 23?$7.52Jul 22, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 23?$9.30Jul 22, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 4?$13.19Jul 6, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 22?$15.27Jul 6, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $80 June 15-21?$16.16Jul 6, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 June 15-21?$17.21Jul 6, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $60 June 15-21?$17.30Jul 6, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on July 1?$17.44Jul 6, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 22?$17.44Jul 6, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Medline not IPO by December 31, 2025?$0.00Jul 6, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on December 15?$0.00Jul 6, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 18?$0.00Jul 6, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 4?$0.56Jun 29, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 4?$11.31Jun 29, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on July 1?$17.00Jun 28, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $80 June 15-21?$15.98Jun 19, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 June 15-21?$17.12Jun 19, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 22?$14.98Jun 19, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $60 June 15-21?$16.97Jun 19, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 22?$16.86Jun 19, 06:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $30.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 14, 05:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 12:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.