Knowledgeable-Branch
0x8501c57c8509322d7c6e98d86b2d2f69034852df
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$6.23
Total PnL
$-100.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
3 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$3.12
$0.12
- YES
Will CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
3 shares @ 96.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$3.12
$0.12
- YES
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?
56 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.67
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ordinary by Alex Warren be the 3rd most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- RAVENS
Bengals vs. Ravens
8 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-12-09?
7 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-6.44
- YES
Will Taylor Swift's appearance on New Heights get between 20 and 30 million views the first week?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: August
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMClippers vs. Thunder$3.33Jan 26, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$2.94Dec 18, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Wizards$3.33Dec 18, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$3.00Dec 12, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$3.00Dec 12, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYClippers vs. Thunder$3.00Dec 12, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Wizards$3.00Dec 12, 17:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?$3.26Dec 12, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?$2.25Dec 12, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tim Keller win the 2025 Albuquerque mayoral election?$3.08Dec 12, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMClippers vs. Rockets$3.61Dec 12, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?$3.16Dec 12, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coventry City FC win on 2025-12-09?$6.44Dec 9, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?$3.00Dec 9, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?$3.00Dec 9, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?$2.00Dec 9, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMNuggets vs. Hornets$3.66Dec 9, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Pelicans$3.75Dec 9, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMBroncos vs. Raiders$7.03Dec 9, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBroncos vs. Raiders$5.55Dec 7, 17:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $3.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 27, 07:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 10:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".