Serious-Destruction
0x8503a1fbf1d307484159919cd527a0fa3d2ebd5f
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
113
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-63.08
Win rate
10%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 113- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
11111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
847 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-26.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on April 12?
355 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-45.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
347 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-23.11
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
285 shares @ 36.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-104.39
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
136 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-30.67
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
130 shares @ 34.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-44.13
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
127 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-20.28
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
101 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2PM ET
100 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-19.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 15?$10.30Apr 15, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 15?$100.00Apr 15, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on April 14?$115.09Apr 15, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on April 14?$114.00Apr 14, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or higher on April 13?$113.82Apr 14, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or higher on April 13?$16.46Apr 13, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or higher on April 13?$27.77Apr 13, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or higher on April 13?$6.92Apr 13, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on April 12?$20.81Apr 13, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on April 12?$25.26Apr 13, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 13?$0.32Apr 13, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 13?$1.00Apr 13, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on April 13?$0.07Apr 13, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 13?$0.30Apr 12, 23:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 13?$0.82Apr 12, 23:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on April 13?$0.64Apr 12, 23:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on April 13?$0.44Apr 12, 23:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 13?$0.22Apr 12, 23:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on April 13?$0.05Apr 12, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on April 13?$3.00Apr 12, 14:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
10% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $16.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 14:15 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 15, 14:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.