Delayed-Trigger
0x8503d5cf4994be7d5f9a248308eca2865f46abdd
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$847.13
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$-116.94
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
4305 shares @ 12.9¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$264.73
$-291.02
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
800 shares @ 43.2¢·now 27.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$222.39
$-123.40
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
799 shares @ 78.0¢·now 12.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$101.44
$-521.58
- NO
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
200 shares @ 53.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$99.00
$-7.00
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
100 shares @ 51.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$51.50
$0.50
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
100 shares @ 51.3¢·now 50.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$50.74
$-0.56
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
209 shares @ 55.8¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.87
$-96.94
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 17.2¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.95
$-1.25
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
120 shares @ 8.9¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.50
$-0.18
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 7.6¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.35
$1.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.97Jun 5, 03:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $6.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 10:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 03:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".