Trivial-Twig
0x8505c70c655a932d40bb757e654bad952177075f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-94.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 28?
218 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.52
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.10 and $2.20 on January 26?
172 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.03
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 14?
143 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 1?
130 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.24
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 21?
126 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.52
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 20?
124 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.86
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 28?
107 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.78
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 9-15?
103 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.54
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 16?
101 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.12
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 24?
101 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.52
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 15?$60.77Jul 15, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 15?$57.73Jul 14, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 10?$1.25Jul 9, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 1?$3.46Jun 1, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?$1.91May 31, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?$53.78May 30, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?$51.79May 29, 20:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 18?$51.69May 18, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 18?$49.93May 17, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 14?$2.29May 13, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?$57.60May 9, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?$54.60May 8, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 28?$1.64Apr 28, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on April 11?$58.43Apr 27, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid hit $42 in January?$0.00Apr 19, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 13?$1.96Apr 13, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 21?$0.00Apr 13, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 11?$56.09Apr 11, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - April 5, 7PM ET$1.55Apr 5, 23:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $69,000 on March 30?$60.24Apr 5, 23:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $19.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 20:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 16:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.