Rotten-Certainty
0x8507be841a2fd3f688974a865fd977b987748e29
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$60.31
Total PnL
$0.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?
25 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$25.00
$0.23
- NO
Will Silviu Predoiu win the Romanian presidential election?
22 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$22.00
$0.02
- NO
Will the New Democratic Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?
13 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$13.31
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Silviu Predoiu win the Romanian presidential election?$21.98Apr 23, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Sociedad win La Liga?$41.00Apr 23, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New Democratic Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?$13.27Mar 17, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?$13.27Mar 17, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?$13.22Feb 17, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?$24.77Feb 17, 12:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$38.00Feb 17, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?$22.66Jan 12, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mircea Geoană win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$10.1KJan 12, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mircea Geoană win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$9.1KJan 12, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Biden pardon SBF?$13.54Jan 12, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mircea Geoană win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$1.0KJan 12, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden pardon SBF?$13.58Jan 12, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?$10.1KJan 12, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?$10.1KJan 12, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Torino win the Serie A?$1.8KJan 2, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Torino win the Serie A?$1.8KJan 2, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$37.62Jan 2, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$1.9KJan 2, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$1.9KJan 2, 08:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $2.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 2, 07:39 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 10:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.