Reliable-Theft
0x850ce74417ed63a79396874e8f2c1f3f1d01fecd
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-227.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?
556 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-63.72
- NO
Will Meta (META) close above $620 end of January?
265 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-55.55
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
209 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.30
- NO
Will Meta (META) close above $640 end of January?
114 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-35.24
- NO
Will Meta (META) close above $600 end of January?
87 shares @ 31.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-27.51
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 29?
54 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.70
- YES
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the NBA Cup?
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
49 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.45
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
40 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Cup?
34 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close above $620 end of January?$55.55Jan 24, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close above $640 end of January?$35.24Jan 24, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close above $600 end of January?$10.51Jan 23, 12:34 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$10.40Jan 23, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close above $600 end of January?$17.00Jan 22, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be 46°F or higher on January 22?$12.00Jan 22, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 24?$5.12Jan 22, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 24?$10.24Jan 20, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$10.00Jan 20, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 46°F or higher on January 22?$8.00Jan 20, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?$63.72Jan 13, 04:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Dallas Mavericks win more than 41.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$0.27Jan 13, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 8?$1.96Dec 8, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Miami Heat win more than 37.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$1.96Dec 8, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$2.30Nov 30, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$2.30Nov 30, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 29?$6.53Nov 29, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$3.22Nov 29, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$3.30Nov 29, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$3.70Nov 28, 08:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $7.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 26, 09:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 24, 22:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".