Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-87.30

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 14

YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
819 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026
$0.00
$-40.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
807 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026
$0.00
$-9.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
153 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026
$0.00
$-4.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
136 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026
$0.00
$-7.10
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
93 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026
$0.00
$-0.93
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
68 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026
$0.00
$-7.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
37 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026
$0.00
$-5.88
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$1.05May 3, 06:51 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$1.06Apr 29, 04:41 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$1.06Apr 29, 04:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$1.05Apr 29, 04:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$1.05Apr 29, 04:40 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$3.28Apr 29, 04:03 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$2.06Apr 29, 03:30 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$2.07Apr 29, 03:25 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$1.07Apr 29, 03:25 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$7.33Apr 29, 02:30 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$1.50Apr 29, 02:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$1.05Apr 29, 02:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$0.11Apr 29, 02:24 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$1.07Apr 29, 02:24 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$1.07Apr 29, 02:23 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$1.07Apr 29, 02:23 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$1.07Apr 29, 02:23 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$1.06Apr 29, 02:22 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$1.06Apr 29, 02:21 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$1.06Apr 29, 02:21 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity40 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry14 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk44 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 38
Avg trade size: $1.78
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Apr 28, 17:29 UTC
Last active: May 3, 06:51 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 16:58:00 UTC·src:Polymarket Data