Quiet-Senate
0x851aa8b6d5285000d94ed3ee951935ee069c6c58
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$131.58
Total PnL
$-440.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?
132 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$131.58
$31.58
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2025-10-14?
299 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Norway win on 2025-10-14?
269 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-199.05
- YES
TikTok sale announced by October 31?
167 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
138 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-58.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2025-10-14?$199.05Oct 14, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2025-10-14?$200.00Oct 14, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland win on 2025-10-10?$96.81Oct 11, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$58.00Oct 10, 21:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?$0.00Oct 10, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Korea Republic win on 2025-10-10?$0.00Oct 10, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $65.71Oct 10, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2025-10-10?$15.00Oct 10, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2025-10-10?$30.00Oct 10, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scotland win on 2025-10-09?$123.46Oct 10, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Poland win on 2025-10-09?$150.00Oct 10, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2025-10-09?$100.00Oct 9, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland win on 2025-10-09?$120.00Oct 9, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Croatia win on 2025-10-09?$42.00Oct 9, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Faroe Islands win on 2025-10-09?$221.90Oct 9, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?$2.87Oct 9, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Finland" or "Canada" 15+ times during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?$19.30Oct 9, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Faroe Islands win on 2025-10-09?$111.71Oct 9, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2025-10-09?$70.00Oct 9, 19:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scotland win on 2025-10-09?$21.61Oct 9, 19:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $69.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 9, 17:56 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 14, 09:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.