Alive-Outhouse
0x8521c8aadda2091266451ac8d0891e1c47c791c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$225.70
Total PnL
$-34.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference?
226 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$225.70
$119.62
- YES
Will Powell say "China" during March press conference?
323 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-58.00
- YES
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?
200 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-28.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Politics" during March press conference?
145 shares @ 39.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-58.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Electricity" during tariff event on April 2?
63 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference?$106.08Mar 17, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Politics" during March press conference?$58.00Mar 17, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "China" during March press conference?$58.00Mar 17, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift pregnant in 2025?$28.00Sep 26, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Electricity" during tariff event on April 2?$10.00Apr 2, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 60 or more times during the March meeting?$0.00Mar 20, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 60 or more times during the March meeting?$50.00Mar 20, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell say "Tariff" 10 or more times during the March meeting?$100.00Mar 20, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 60 or more times during the March meeting?$20.07Mar 12, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell say "Tariff" 10 or more times during the March meeting?$29.00Mar 12, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say 'DEI' or 'diversity, equity, and inclusion' during the 2025 State of the Union?$0.00Mar 12, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say 'DOGE' or 'Department of Government Efficiency' during the 2025 State of the Union?$0.00Mar 12, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say 'Gulf of America' during the 2025 State of the Union?$0.00Mar 12, 15:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-03-11?$100.15Mar 12, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-03-11?$35.04Mar 11, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say 'DEI' or 'diversity, equity, and inclusion' during the 2025 State of the Union?$12.00Mar 4, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say 'DOGE' or 'Department of Government Efficiency' during the 2025 State of the Union?$5.00Mar 4, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say 'Gulf of America' during the 2025 State of the Union?$24.66Mar 4, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during January press conference?$135.70Jan 31, 13:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jair Bolsonaro attend presidential inauguration?$0.00Jan 27, 14:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $29.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 14:32 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 22:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".