Messy-Pigeon
0x8522f5b7d2572d5b6db7954b15ec2c62a30ae26f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin before February?
4193 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-461.27
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
2086 shares @ 39.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-832.32
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
20 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-8.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$9.00Mar 29, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$8.75Mar 29, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$6.00Mar 29, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$450.00Mar 27, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$0.61Mar 27, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$381.71Mar 27, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$816.00Mar 27, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$1.8KMar 13, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$1.8KMar 13, 21:54 UTC
- REWARD$0.25Mar 11, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$421.81Mar 10, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$3.01Mar 10, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$47.76Mar 10, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$1.99Mar 10, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$1.99Mar 10, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$306.56Mar 10, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$794.25Mar 9, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$2.0KMar 9, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$2.0KMar 9, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$22.00Mar 5, 00:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $283.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 5, 23:49 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 13:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.