Subtle-Retreat
0x8524f01c0f8719fd0521815815ba4ba24baf2af7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-738.89
Realised
$3.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
61206 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-414.92
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
48183 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-108.80
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?
41000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-41.00
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
26028 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-155.49
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for math on March 31?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?
640 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
183 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Megaquake by March 31?
175 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$242.29May 13, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.88May 12, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$8.36May 12, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$20.91May 11, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$31.37May 11, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$104.56May 11, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$104.56May 11, 23:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$23.97Apr 28, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$3.60Apr 19, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.07Apr 19, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$4.00Apr 19, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$2.00Apr 19, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.84Apr 19, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$0.93Apr 19, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$4.03Apr 19, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$3.00Apr 19, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.00Apr 19, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.02Apr 19, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$5.00Apr 19, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.00Apr 18, 00:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $15.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 00:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 10:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.