Creative-Replacement
0x852ae071f916b9767b02655f74236fe058bec6f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-43.76
Realised
$-0.76
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 4PM ET
1548 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Doncaster Rovers FC win on 2026-01-10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 2AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-01-10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will "Trump" be said 3+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 18)
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - January 9, 5PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - January 10, 2AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Shrewsbury Town FC win on 2026-01-10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win on 2026-01-18?$1.00Jan 18, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 18, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 15, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?$0.34Jan 15, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 15, 18:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.16Jan 15, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 13, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 13, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Trump" be said 3+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 18)$1.00Jan 13, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serge Ghislaine Djouri win the 2025 Central African Republic presidential election?$1.00Jan 13, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?$1.00Jan 13, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 13, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 13, 3PM ET$1.89Jan 13, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 13, 3PM ET$2.00Jan 13, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 13, 2PM ET$2.00Jan 13, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 13, 2PM ET$0.06Jan 13, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 2PM ET$0.09Jan 13, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 2PM ET$2.00Jan 13, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 13, 2PM ET$1.00Jan 13, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 13, 2PM ET$1.44Jan 13, 19:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 17:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 18, 22:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.