Flustered-Fall
0x852e7acc761020ac9ecef91e924ca9d29ad70900
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$12.50
Total PnL
$-57.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$12.50
$2.50
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on March 3?
6229 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on March 4?
3336 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 3?
1864 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 3?
1057 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 4?
527 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$0.00Mar 3, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110k November 3-9?$0.00Mar 3, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 7?$0.00Mar 3, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November?$0.00Mar 3, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5,000 in November?$0.00Mar 3, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 7?$0.00Mar 3, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 3, 3AM ET$0.00Mar 3, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on November 8?$0.00Mar 3, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 3?$10.00Mar 3, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 3?$10.00Mar 3, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on March 3?$10.00Mar 3, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 4?$10.00Mar 3, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on March 4?$10.00Mar 3, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on March 4?$10.00Mar 3, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$10.00Mar 3, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 3, 3AM ET$1.00Mar 3, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$0.00Mar 3, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$1.00Mar 2, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$1.16Mar 2, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$1.00Mar 2, 16:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $10.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 06:07 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 13:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.