Truthful-Part
0x8535c3770bbd06cc7c60d673d8fc00de854c7e37
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$22.89
Total PnL
$-114.80
Realised
$-4.40
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
158 shares @ 19.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.89
$-7.11
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2300 on July 11?
529 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $105K on July 11?
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Chow Hang‑tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- COMMANDERS
Seahawks vs. Commanders
80 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
77 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
68 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- NO
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
61 shares @ 32.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?
25 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$30.97May 8, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$8.45Apr 2, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$5.00Apr 2, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?$10.32Apr 2, 01:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?$0.58Apr 2, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?$2.17Apr 2, 01:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?$8.50Apr 2, 01:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?$16.41Apr 2, 01:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Proxy" or "Hezbollah" during Address to the Nation?$13.87Apr 2, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?$10.00Apr 2, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?$5.00Apr 2, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Proxy" or "Hezbollah" during Address to the Nation?$10.00Apr 2, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?$10.00Apr 2, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?$12.00Apr 2, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$5.00Mar 16, 03:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?$46.06Mar 16, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?$40.00Mar 16, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Frankenstein" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?$0.01Mar 16, 02:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?$11.48Mar 16, 02:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?$12.34Mar 16, 02:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $9.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 8, 02:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 13:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".