0x8536e39e83210f158b8b343b95d12bdcd4f87038
0x8536e39e83210f158b8b343b95d12bdcd4f87038
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-840.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?
946 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Google forced to sell Chrome?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?
463 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
417 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?
400 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in his first 100 days?
372 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?
355 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?
261 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
220 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.60
- YES
Will Călin Georgescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?
199 shares @ 50.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLLiberals win majority in Canadian election?$130.06Apr 29, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiberals win majority in Canadian election?$50.00Apr 25, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYConservatives win majority in Canadian election?$50.00Apr 25, 22:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kari Lake be a member of the Trump administration?$193.27Mar 28, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$20.25Mar 22, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$23.00Mar 22, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$4.60Mar 22, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$2.75Mar 22, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the SPD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?$0.00Mar 18, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $0.00Mar 18, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$22.73Mar 18, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?$132.90Mar 18, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say 'crypto' or 'Bitcoin' during the 2025 State of the Union?$0.00Mar 5, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say 'Greenland' during the 2025 State of the Union?$166.67Mar 5, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeorgescu banned from Romania election?$50.00Mar 3, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say 'Greenland' during the 2025 State of the Union?$50.00Mar 3, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill "I Am Ready, Warden" win Best Documentary Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?$0.00Mar 3, 20:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$0.00Mar 3, 20:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sean Baker win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "Anora"?$0.00Mar 3, 20:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2025 Oscars?$0.00Mar 3, 20:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $46.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 14, 23:10 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 21:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".