Indolent-Cube
0x8538fa8f47a7a2cf0dc74f3391a2e59d0099e810
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$91.99
Total PnL
$-125.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 24?
50 shares @ 80.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$42.25
$2.25
- YES
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
40 shares @ 66.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$29.80
$3.40
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during Pennsylvania events?
20 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$19.94
$1.15
- NO
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score
110 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-97.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
105 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.75
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
30 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-27.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
5 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 24?$40.40Jun 23, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during Pennsylvania events?$18.84Jun 23, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$7.00Jun 23, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$5.17Jun 23, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$7.00Jun 23, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$3.96Jun 23, 17:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$49.69Jun 21, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$43.18Jun 17, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$26.67Jun 17, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$79.52Jun 17, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$20.75Jun 17, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$14.43Jun 17, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$22.88Jun 17, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$4.59Jun 17, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$59.40Jun 17, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$80.48Jun 17, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-06-21?$17.33Jun 16, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score$98.22Jun 16, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win on 2026-06-16?$24.48Jun 16, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$8.44Jun 16, 20:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $23.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 21:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 18:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.