Dirty-Distance
0x853b76284b3336594177d0626feeb9bc95aadf08
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$46.30
Total PnL
$0.69
Realised
$-3.47
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-05-10?
22 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$22.00
$2.20
- NO
Will Brazil vs. Panama end in a draw?
21 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$21.00
$1.68
- NO
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$1.00
$0.03
- NO
Will New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
1 shares @ 91.5¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jan 25, 2027$0.99
$0.07
- NO
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
1 shares @ 95.3¢·now 98.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.98
$0.03
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
1 shares @ 4.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$0.33
$0.29
- YES
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
2 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.09
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at >$420 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?
1 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Panama end in a draw?$19.37May 31, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-05-10?$19.86May 10, 07:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 1760-1839 tweets in April 2026?$176.11Mar 18, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 1760-1839 tweets in April 2026?$418.39Mar 18, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1760-1839 tweets in April 2026?$595.11Mar 18, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?$36.50Mar 18, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?$37.18Mar 18, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?$120.16Mar 18, 18:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?$387.37Mar 18, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?$121.72Mar 18, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?$288.83Mar 18, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?$341.00Mar 18, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$27.05Mar 18, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$26.55Mar 18, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xavier Iturralde win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?$646.41Mar 18, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Iturralde win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?$645.73Mar 18, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla (TSLA) close at >$420 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$20.00Mar 18, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close at >$420 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$25.05Mar 18, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$15.50Mar 18, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$11.90Mar 18, 17:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $250.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 10:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 13:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.