Bland-Retention
0x853f24bfa91dc4555183762a97f7d399259d9765
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$154.21
Total PnL
$-127.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
288 shares @ 17.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$154.21
$105.21
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 23?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
455 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
385 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-106.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
217 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
171 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 2 hours and 15 minutes?
149 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$49.00Jun 10, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$57.60May 31, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$51.47May 31, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$5.00Feb 4, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 2 hours and 15 minutes?$10.00Jan 21, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?$102.99Oct 30, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keyboard Monkey win the Synthetix trading competition?$5.00Oct 25, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?$10.00Oct 25, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?$31.11Oct 25, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?$5.00Oct 25, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?$1.00Oct 25, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?$5.00Oct 25, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?$5.00Oct 25, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?$10.00Oct 25, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?$10.00Oct 25, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?$20.00Oct 25, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?$20.00Oct 25, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?$20.00Oct 25, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?$20.00Oct 25, 17:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?$65.72Oct 24, 15:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $19.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 21, 16:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 07:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.