Considerate-Gazebo
0x853fb3802ef620048387ab0e0503c0f665b9e423
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$24.94
Total PnL
$-5.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?
7 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$7.18
$0.18
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$6.45
$0.45
- YES
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 600k?
6 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$6.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?
5 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.21
$0.21
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?
9 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?$5.00Feb 8, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$6.00Feb 8, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 600k?$6.00Feb 8, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?$7.00Jan 31, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?$6.00Jan 31, 18:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $6.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 18:31 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 8, 17:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.