Medium-Omelet
0x854c146c2c4da4ca978686d1917a57b7498cfe41
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$51.02
Total PnL
$-6.49
Realised
$-5.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?
20 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$20.46
$0.04
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 65.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$4.59
$1.59
- YES
Will Trump say "garbage" during Wisconsin rally on Oct 30?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2024$2.20
$0.26
- NO
Suella Braverman next Conservative party leader?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?
2 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$1.94
$0.06
- NO
Will a Democrat win Nebraska US Senate Election?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$1.88
$0.00
- NO
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?
2 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$1.72
$0.02
- NO
Nigel Farage next Conservative party leader?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$1.66
$0.00
- NO
Will Another team win the UEFA Europa League?
2 shares @ 94.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2025$1.66
$0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "garbage" during Wisconsin rally on Oct 30?$1.94Oct 30, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?$1.40Oct 30, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?$1.11Oct 30, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win no swing states?$1.00Oct 29, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?$1.44Oct 29, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Nebraska US Senate Election?$1.88Oct 29, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuella Braverman next Conservative party leader?$2.00Oct 28, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYNigel Farage next Conservative party leader?$1.66Oct 28, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Detroit" during Michigan rally on October 25?$0.00Oct 28, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Detroit" during Michigan rally on October 25?$2.00Oct 28, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?$1.70Oct 28, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?$1.00Oct 26, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump wins every swing state?$1.77Oct 26, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$2.30Oct 26, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Detroit" during Michigan rally on October 25?$2.00Oct 26, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Another team win the UEFA Europa League?$1.56Oct 26, 03:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?$5.2KOct 25, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 7% or more?$1.44Oct 25, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?$1.40Oct 25, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?$1.88Oct 25, 16:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $474.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 25, 16:30 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 30, 10:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".