Firsthand-Duration
0x855c2f29bfa6cee9a804aad24340b17bb22ab8ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$14.69
Total PnL
$-1.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
3 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$3.45
$1.45
- YES
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15?
3 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$2.74
$0.74
- YES
Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$1.41
$0.41
- YES
2025 September second hottest on record?
1 shares @ 71.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.39
$0.39
- NO
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.35
$0.35
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.14
$0.14
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025?
1 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- YES
NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?
11 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?$1.09Oct 10, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUY2025 September second hottest on record?$1.00Oct 7, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?$2.00Oct 7, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine hits Moscow by December 31?$2.00Oct 7, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?$1.00Oct 7, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$1.00Oct 7, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$2.00Oct 7, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?$1.00Oct 7, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15?$2.00Oct 7, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$1.00Oct 7, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model on October 31?$1.00Oct 7, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI browser by October 31?$1.00Oct 7, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025?$1.00Oct 7, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?$1.00Oct 7, 22:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $1.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 7, 22:44 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 10, 22:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".