Soft-Ownership
0x8560aae21c38a384c574a6ab10f747df9a0ede6c
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$49.95
Total PnL
$-10.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
26 shares @ 76.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$26.14
$6.14
- YES
Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?
24 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 13, 2025$23.81
$3.81
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
56 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$20.00Apr 22, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$20.00Apr 22, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?$20.00Apr 22, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMTrump sentenced to between 0 and 11 months prison time?$0.00Apr 22, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$0.00Apr 22, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden announce resignation by July 31?$0.00Apr 22, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$0.00Apr 22, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Apr 22, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$0.00Apr 22, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$22.73Apr 22, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$100.00Oct 16, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$50.00Oct 16, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$15.00Oct 16, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$8.80Jul 19, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden announce resignation by July 31?$9.20Jul 19, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMHunter Biden found guilty in gun case?$0.00Jul 19, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump sentenced to no prison time?$9.86Jun 6, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump sentenced to between 0 and 11 months prison time?$10.00Jun 6, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$10.00Jun 6, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYHunter Biden found guilty in gun case?$10.00Jun 4, 11:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $22.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 10:59 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 05:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.