0x85614d30ff35a41c2bf22ca58bddac6f58584681
0x85614d30ff35a41c2bf22ca58bddac6f58584681
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$190.19
Total PnL
$-76.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 40% by March 31?
190 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$190.19
$0.38
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be 45.0–45.4% on July 25?
649 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-4.68
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?
518 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.67
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $93000 and $95000 on May 9?
517 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2025$0.00
$-7.65
- YES
Will 'Fatal' win Crunchyroll's Best Anime Song Award for 2025?
462 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.68
- YES
Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?
439 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.89
- YES
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $20m and $23m?
420 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.26
- YES
Trump out as President by March 31?
410 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.05
- YES
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?
331 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2025$0.00
$-9.60
- YES
Will Elon tweet 100–114 times June 13–20?
308 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUY2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 40% by March 31?$189.81Mar 29, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of March?$0.55Mar 27, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of March?$1.20Mar 26, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by March 31?$2.05Mar 24, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$6.38Mar 23, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Knapp win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?$9.89Mar 12, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on December 25?$7.08Dec 19, 19:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google dip to $290 in Nov 25-28?$210.00Dec 12, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google dip to $290 in Nov 25-28?$209.79Nov 28, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMStonehill Skyhawks vs. Iowa State Cyclones$240.00Nov 19, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYStonehill Skyhawks vs. Iowa State Cyclones$239.04Nov 17, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $95k November 3-9?$260.42Nov 13, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $95k November 3-9?$258.96Nov 7, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $100 in September?$260.00Nov 4, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $2.10 October 27-November 2?$13.00Oct 30, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?$89.73Oct 29, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?$89.64Oct 23, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexei Gorinov win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.65Oct 7, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $100 in September?$259.74Sep 27, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $20m and $23m?$1.26Aug 3, 14:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $119.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 12:15 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 08:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".