0x85652be78cc9c38dbe750512b15db62e81dddaca
0x85652be78cc9c38dbe750512b15db62e81dddaca
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-66.31
Win rate
0%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
1413 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
833 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-105.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
550 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
302 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-58.88
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
270 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
234 shares @ 21.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
231 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
228 shares @ 26.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
192 shares @ 26.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
189 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-41.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$44.28Jun 30, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$10.76Jun 30, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$53.35Jun 30, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$107.50Jun 30, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$52.57Jun 30, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$26.60Jun 30, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$26.18Jun 30, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$62.79Jun 29, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$5.40Jun 29, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$105.90Jun 29, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$63.71Jun 29, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$31.69Jun 29, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$30.53Jun 29, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$52.43Jun 28, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$52.58Jun 28, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$4.62Jun 28, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$10.49Jun 28, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$10.46Jun 28, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$25.58Jun 28, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$1.58Jun 25, 02:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 36 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
36 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $26.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 01:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 13:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.