Possible-Vignette
0x8566829dabef58e36ddf68f865a952ab9c44b1a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
81
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-495.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- YES
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Richard Seymour win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Joe Mallahan win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 9?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $200 on November 14?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tencent have the top AI model on December 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$71.64Mar 20, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$0.00Mar 20, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$0.00Mar 20, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$0.00Mar 20, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$0.00Mar 20, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$0.00Mar 20, 18:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$12.36Mar 20, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$84.02Mar 20, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMVukic vs. Harris: Match O/U 23.5$5.00Mar 20, 10:45 UTC
- REDEEMKaterina Siniakova vs. Camila Osorio: Total Sets O/U 2.5$10.00Mar 20, 10:45 UTC
- REDEEMSet Handicap: Opelka (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)$10.00Mar 20, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet Handicap: Opelka (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)$7.00Mar 18, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYKaterina Siniakova vs. Camila Osorio: Total Sets O/U 2.5$6.00Mar 17, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYVukic vs. Harris: Match O/U 23.5$2.75Mar 16, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBurruchaga vs. Fery: Match O/U 22.5$2.92Mar 16, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYDamas vs. Choinski: Match O/U 21.5$2.45Mar 15, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYReal Sporting de Gijón vs. CD Castellón: O/U 2.5$1.15Mar 15, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYReal Sporting de Gijón vs. CD Castellón: O/U 2.5$3.55Mar 15, 19:50 UTC
- REDEEMMaple Leafs vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5$5.00Mar 15, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaple Leafs vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5$1.85Mar 14, 22:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $7.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 22:05 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 21:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".