Probable-Expense
0x85686b1e16eb3f82560a2aa0bbd4d9c3e2d12129
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-906.80
Realised
$93.53
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?
3516 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-97.88
- TATE
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
709 shares @ 85.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-608.26
- YES
Will there be 2 knockdowns during Paul vs Joshua?
446 shares @ 33.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-148.10
- CALIFORNIA
California vs. Hawaii
166 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-146.08
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$76.52Dec 25, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$85.02Dec 25, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYCalifornia vs. Hawaii$140.86Dec 25, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYCalifornia vs. Hawaii$4.40Dec 25, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYCalifornia vs. Hawaii$0.82Dec 25, 02:17 UTC
- TRADESELLCalifornia vs. Hawaii$147.03Dec 25, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYCalifornia vs. Hawaii$152.10Dec 25, 02:15 UTC
- TRADESELLCalifornia vs. Hawaii$19.60Dec 24, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYCalifornia vs. Hawaii$20.00Dec 24, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELL49ers vs. Colts$16.98Dec 23, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUY49ers vs. Colts$11.22Dec 23, 02:12 UTC
- TRADESELLFact Check: Epstein video confirmed real?$11.64Dec 22, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFact Check: Epstein video confirmed real?$34.92Dec 22, 22:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Santa deliver between 8,300,000,000 and 8,400,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?$12.24Dec 22, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek win the okbet trading competition?$22.73Dec 22, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek win the okbet trading competition?$4.90Dec 22, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek win the okbet trading competition?$1.50Dec 21, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek win the okbet trading competition?$2.50Dec 21, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek win the okbet trading competition?$4.00Dec 21, 01:43 UTC
- REWARD$4.17Dec 21, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $35.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 20, 02:17 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 25, 20:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.