Valid-Affinity
0x85693f1b2a30bcf79fc5d678acd33f6d3fed8b85
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-211.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Jean-Claude Hollerich be the next pope?
12906 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-129.55
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
473 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
437 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
397 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
222 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by January 31?
108 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
81 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$22.00Mar 1, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$21.38Mar 1, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$3.00Feb 1, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$3.24Feb 1, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 27, 12:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?$0.29Jan 27, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$0.73Jan 27, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$5.00Jan 23, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 23, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$6.00Jan 23, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$1.00Jan 19, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 18, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by January 31?$4.00Jan 18, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?$5.00Jan 18, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dortmund win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$3.79Jan 18, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dortmund win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$4.00Jan 18, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$15.00Jan 18, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$4.00Jan 17, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$20.00Jan 17, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Claude Hollerich be the next pope?$128.27May 8, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $12.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 23:55 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 20:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".