Dense-Probability
0x856c79f3aa293c0935f82b09aee17598b8127f1c
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$42.50
Total PnL
$-18.90
Realised
$-3.52
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
18 shares @ 62.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$18.00
$6.72
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
13 shares @ 65.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$13.20
$4.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
11 shares @ 81.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$11.30
$2.13
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
40 shares @ 21.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-8.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
34 shares @ 29.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
16 shares @ 31.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.06
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
14 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.32
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
6 shares @ 29.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$1.68Mar 29, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$1.70Mar 29, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$2.49Mar 29, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$3.36Mar 29, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$1.38Mar 29, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$1.36Mar 29, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$2.72Mar 29, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$3.35Mar 29, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$2.86Mar 15, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$1.41Mar 15, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$1.35Mar 15, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$1.45Mar 15, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$0.76Mar 15, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$4.13Mar 15, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$3.10Mar 15, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$6.30Mar 15, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$5.36Mar 15, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$5.44Mar 15, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$14.67Mar 15, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$1.17Mar 15, 09:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 07:52 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 17:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.