Trusting-Tolerance
0x856c930ebf13d212504c2ac99d57dca9426102f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$13.12
Total PnL
$-32.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
1 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 10?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 20?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will between 380 and 389 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Brian Rast win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Jan 15, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 4, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 26, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 21?$1.01Dec 11, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 19?$1.01Dec 11, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?$1.01Dec 11, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.01Dec 11, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$1.02Dec 11, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?$1.02Dec 11, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$1.02Dec 11, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$1.02Dec 11, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?$1.03Dec 11, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$8.13Dec 11, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 10?$1.00Dec 10, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 8, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?$1.00Dec 5, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$1.00Dec 4, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Van Epps win TN-07 by 10–15%?$1.00Dec 3, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 2, 07:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 14, 06:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 02:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".