Other-Hype
0x856e543af34c8b69d73db1f8b053280f76ad17c9
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$109.21
Total PnL
$11.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?
33 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$32.98
$16.16
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
32 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$31.71
$5.71
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
33 shares @ 81.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.52
$3.79
- NO
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
14 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$14.00
$2.10
- YES
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?
27 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
19 shares @ 53.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$16.48Jun 24, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$26.73Jun 11, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by August 31, 2026?$16.82Jun 10, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?$11.90Jun 10, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$15.06Jun 10, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$26.00Jun 10, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$9.46Jun 10, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$11.00Jun 10, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?$12.73Jun 10, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$44.00Jun 10, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$40.40Jun 7, 04:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$9.60May 24, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?$7.00May 24, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?$17.22May 20, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?$1.00May 19, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?$8.31May 19, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$40.03May 19, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$7.07May 19, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?$26.00May 19, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 8?$54.00May 19, 11:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $18.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 26, 19:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 00:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.