Embellished-Nougat
0x857fdd45b3b9bf70b2f677ad456a88bbc422039f
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$585.93
Total PnL
$-12.1K
Realised
$25.09
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
719 shares @ 27.8¢·now 26.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$190.29
$-9.71
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3075 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$149.14
$26.14
- YES
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?
191 shares @ 64.5¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$137.35
$14.35
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
303 shares @ 33.0¢·now 21.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$66.21
$-33.79
- YES
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
438 shares @ 8.0¢·now 2.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.63
$-25.38
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
601 shares @ 20.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.31
$-110.69
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
400 shares @ 15.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.00
$-51.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
233 shares @ 15.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$4.78
$-30.22
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
250 shares @ 16.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.13
$-35.88
- YES
Will Taqaddom Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
564 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.10
$-128.90
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.