Circular-Thrush
0x8580a3b2eed9da840b1cb4f2a4fc11f71a4e7ba8
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
119
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-301.32
Realised
$-6.00
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 119- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 5?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
1709 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-50.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on March 2?
1182 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 3?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 3?
385 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C or higher on March 3?
267 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C or higher on March 3?
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
236 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - March 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
143 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-9.79
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
136 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-14.38
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$0.17Mar 18, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$1.00Mar 18, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$1.17Mar 18, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$1.00Mar 18, 10:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$0.89Mar 18, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$1.00Mar 18, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$1.00Mar 18, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$1.00Mar 18, 10:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6AM ET$1.14Mar 18, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$1.00Mar 18, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$1.00Mar 18, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$1.00Mar 18, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$1.00Mar 18, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$1.00Mar 18, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$1.00Mar 18, 10:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$4.18Mar 18, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$1.00Mar 18, 10:43 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 18, 6AM ET$3.33Mar 18, 10:43 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 18, 6AM ET$0.74Mar 18, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$0.01Mar 18, 10:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 10:37 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 10:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".