Coordinated-Crow
0x858b7712af632772f0a1e64b156a309dd61bb832
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
60
Open notional
$314.13
Total PnL
$-32.9K
Realised
$-312.83
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
2000 shares @ 27.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$290.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
6897 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.14
$-2.0K
- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
13691 shares @ 40.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.5K
- NO
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
10000 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-280.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 1-2?
9700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-19.40
- YES
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
9626 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-991.94
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
4490 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?
4133 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-356.99
- YES
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 15?
4008 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-8.02
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on November 30?
3700 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-16?$550.00Jun 16, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$363.00Jun 15, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$303.78Jun 13, 22:03 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.96May 26, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$27.00May 25, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$10.41May 25, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$20.25May 25, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$24.30May 25, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$13.50May 25, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$27.75May 25, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$4.46May 25, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.89May 25, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.93May 25, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$378.00May 25, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.23May 25, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$30.28May 25, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMOver $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$0.00Mar 30, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMOver $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$91.45Mar 30, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$89.53Mar 25, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$2.0KMar 15, 20:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $345.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 19:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 21:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.