Firm-Past
0x858de04678527b5356ad62f1fb804dd7efa1033e
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$9.33
Total PnL
$-21.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
57 shares @ 10.4¢·now 8.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.10
$-0.83
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 94.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
5315 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.7K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
2703 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
2672 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
2671 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
2667 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
2662 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.93Mar 24, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$6.00Mar 24, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$5.99Feb 3, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMCongress authorizes military force against Venezuela by January 31?$1.01Feb 3, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$1.02Feb 3, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMRussia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 11?$1.04Feb 3, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by January 31?$1.04Feb 3, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?$1.04Feb 3, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$1.04Feb 3, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?$1.05Feb 3, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Machado by January 16?$1.06Feb 3, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro mugshot released by January 16?$2.06Feb 3, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$20.00Feb 3, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$1.00Jan 12, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$1.00Jan 12, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by January 31?$1.00Jan 12, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 12, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro mugshot released by January 16?$1.00Jan 12, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Machado by January 16?$1.00Jan 12, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$19.92Jan 12, 09:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $35.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 24, 11:20 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 10:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".