Downright-Shearling
0x858fcbd1dfcae140dc650c2aeff88de413bea210
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$413.88
Total PnL
$0.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?
401 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$400.80
$0.80
- YES
Moonbirds FDV above $100M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Jan 29, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$2.00Jan 29, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?$400.00Jan 29, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYMoonbirds FDV above $100M one day after launch?$10.00Jan 29, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$1.25Jan 29, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?$402.26Jan 29, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?$401.05Dec 23, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMMonad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?$12.07Dec 23, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November?$414.97Dec 23, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November?$413.73Nov 22, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?$12.00Nov 22, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$1.22Nov 22, 16:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?$426.95Nov 22, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?$423.96Oct 6, 02:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 165–179 times July 11–18?$423.96Oct 6, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 165–179 times July 11–18?$415.90Jul 17, 14:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60K in June?$1.01Jul 17, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMSolana all time high by June 30?$1.02Jul 17, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $80 in June?$1.02Jul 17, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 3-9?$1.08Jul 17, 14:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $144.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 13:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 29, 06:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.