Discrete-Geometry
0x8590ff8fcbe8ee325755f760c1879cc9354115e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
51
Open notional
$5.26
Total PnL
$-165.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.26
$4.26
- NO
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
2298 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
1159 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 28?
655 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US bank failure by January 31?
614 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
550 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?
230 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$1.00Mar 9, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$1.00Mar 9, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?$1.00Mar 8, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$1.00Mar 7, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.00Mar 7, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?$10.00Mar 6, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMT20 World Cup: England vs India$7.35Mar 6, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup: England vs India$5.00Mar 5, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 28?$1.00Feb 28, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$5.00Feb 28, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$1.00Feb 27, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$0.34Feb 27, 20:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 04:20 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 21:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".