Majestic-Nationality
0x8591b8885b1d635c6ff6950bb8f1f116f21943f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-995.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
1800 shares @ 52.8¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.3K
$319.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025?
1000 shares @ 23.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-235.50
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
600 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-330.00
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
510 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-138.72
- NO
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
350 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-217.00
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?
326 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-37.44
- YES
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
300 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
270 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.24
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.11Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 8, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 4, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.