Fragrant-Birch
0x859614c63d0a422ac052af2349816fdc667e7829
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$20.35
Total PnL
$-105.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 21?
20 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$20.35
$3.66
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on June 5?
225 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.57
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 31?
216 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.51
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11AM ET
210 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.47
- MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE DELTA DEVILS
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguars
209 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.59
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 15?
208 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 28?
207 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.69
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 19?
207 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.31
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 29?
205 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 2?
193 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on June 5?$1.68Jun 4, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 17?$27.61Jun 3, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 27?$119.00May 27, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 27?$117.57May 26, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 26?$1.90May 25, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 25?$5.52May 24, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 23?$1.26May 22, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 19?$114.56May 19, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 19?$112.84May 19, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 30, 7PM ET$28.08May 19, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 15?$5.34May 14, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 13?$2.31May 12, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 11?$113.19May 11, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 11?$0.33May 11, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 11?$111.28May 11, 01:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on April 20?$120.14May 11, 01:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 27?$0.00Apr 28, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 21?$16.69Apr 21, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on April 20?$0.14Apr 19, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on April 20?$118.20Apr 19, 17:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $39.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 11:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 16:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.