Real-Tablecloth
0x859648b3ff4ad6b13df97ead1ee378105f3cd5a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$59.42
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$-14.26
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May?$59.31May 25, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 11-17?$59.31May 25, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 11-17?$59.09May 16, 12:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10?$59.08May 16, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10?$59.01May 9, 04:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $130 in April?$28.99May 9, 04:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $140 in April?$30.03May 9, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $130 in April?$28.96Apr 27, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $140 in April?$30.00Apr 27, 05:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.80 April 13-19?$58.95Apr 27, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.80 April 13-19?$58.90Apr 14, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.90 March 30-April 5?$18.85Apr 14, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 30-April 5?$40.06Apr 14, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 30-April 5?$40.02Apr 2, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.90 March 30-April 5?$18.83Apr 2, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $120 in March?$29.03Apr 2, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $10 in March?$29.82Apr 2, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $10 in March?$29.79Mar 30, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $120 in March?$29.00Mar 30, 07:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,500 on March 19?$58.79Mar 30, 07:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $285.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 09:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 10:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.