Grumpy-Cake
0x859a3013aa7d11d8f79103815079b4425ae9f863
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?
2133 shares @ 70.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
1222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-15?
541 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-17?
486 shares @ 41.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-12-13?
435 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-17?
392 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?
222 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
211 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will CA Osasuna win on 2025-12-17?
143 shares @ 45.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-65.12
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
79 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$1.00Mar 8, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$1.00Mar 8, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$1.00Mar 8, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$10.00Mar 8, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$10.00Mar 8, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$10.00Mar 8, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$10.00Mar 8, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?$1.0KJan 3, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?$882.85Jan 3, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?$717.16Jan 3, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?$189.00Jan 1, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?$189.00Jan 1, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?$547.32Jan 1, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?$547.32Jan 1, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?$147.50Dec 31, 11:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?$73.95Dec 31, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?$1.00Dec 31, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?$18.36Dec 31, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?$1.59Dec 31, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?$5.00Dec 31, 08:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $222.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 05:29 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 8, 08:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".