Ill-Fated-Wiseguy
0x859f24f3a7d74cf02ec69df6743883331669a063
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Dec 27-Jan 3?
1050 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will Arsenal lead the EPL in points at midway point?
1020 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 3-Jan 10?
1020 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Ipswich Town wins the Premier League?
1020 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times Jan 17-24?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ding Liren win Game 14 of the World Chess Championship?
250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2024$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 1.75-2.0%?
230 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.23
- YES
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 6-13?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2024$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIpswich Town wins the Premier League?$1.02Feb 5, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 525-549 times Jan 17-24?$1.00Jan 23, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 3-Jan 10?$1.02Jan 7, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 375-399 times Dec 27-Jan 3?$1.05Jan 3, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal lead the EPL in points at midway point?$1.02Dec 30, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?$0.20Dec 14, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?$0.20Dec 12, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ding Liren win Game 14 of the World Chess Championship?$0.25Dec 12, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 1.75-2.0%?$0.23Dec 12, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 6-13?$0.20Dec 12, 15:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $0.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 15:11 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 5, 15:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".