Buzzing-Beginner
0x85a85805bcbdf2e629788adac1420b6b53949281
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$64.3K
Total PnL
$-20.3K
Realised
$-102.46
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
11364 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$11.4K
$1.4K
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
13226 shares @ 64.3¢·now 85.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$11.3K
$2.8K
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
14866 shares @ 67.5¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.3K
$301.92
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
7407 shares @ 81.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$7.1K
$1.1K
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?
3729 shares @ 83.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$3.5K
$427.47
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
3478 shares @ 69.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.0K
$608.70
- NO
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
2575 shares @ 84.5¢·now 97.2¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.5K
$325.22
- NO
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?
5032 shares @ 67.2¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.2K
$-1.2K
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
2146 shares @ 86.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.1K
$284.31
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?
1639 shares @ 89.6¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.6K
$162.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$518.51Jul 21, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$2.91Jul 21, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$2.91Jul 21, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$2.91Jul 21, 05:06 UTC
- REWARD$5.75Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$111.71Jul 20, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$28.49Jul 20, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$2.50Jul 20, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$56.32Jul 20, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$103.27Jul 20, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$44.40Jul 20, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?$1.1KJul 20, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMIran successfully targets shipping on July 16?$973.45Jul 20, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMIran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?$1.4KJul 20, 05:46 UTC
- REWARD$16.19Jul 20, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no listed leader be out before 2027?$49.20Jul 19, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?$1.72Jul 19, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$1.3KJul 19, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?$1.5KJul 19, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$3.1KJul 19, 15:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $598.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 16:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 05:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.