Thin-Labor
0x85ac968270dad06d8988a676f30d377a5fd7fce6
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$2.40
Total PnL
$-79.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on July 21?
619 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$2.16
$1.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 21?
471 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.24
$-0.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 20?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 20?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 20?
376 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.53
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 21?
350 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-12.65
- UP
XRP Up or Down - July 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
350 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.87
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 20?
323 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-34.38
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 22?$6.35Jul 21, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 22?$5.56Jul 21, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 22?$77.01Jul 21, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 22?$10.48Jul 21, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 22?$10.45Jul 21, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 22?$83.12Jul 21, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 22?$1.05Jul 21, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 22?$10.45Jul 21, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$1.00Jul 21, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$1.06Jul 21, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 21?$1.05Jul 21, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on July 21?$1.05Jul 21, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 21?$74.97Jul 21, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 21?$147.72Jul 21, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 21?$0.01Jul 21, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 21?$1.90Jul 21, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 21?$2.56Jul 21, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 21?$0.30Jul 21, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 21?$30.76Jul 21, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on July 21?$0.55Jul 21, 03:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $12.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 07:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 18:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.