Tired-Scene
0x85b9ec18170556c203ee1c5e3fb6c524e0a9db91
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$22.59
Total PnL
$-156.52
Realised
$2.55
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16 shares @ 63.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$9.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
17 shares @ 59.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$7.88
$-2.12
- YES
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$4.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
238 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.38
- YES
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
82 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
36 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$15.08Jun 13, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$5.72Jun 13, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$5.11Jun 13, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$23.05Jun 13, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$6.10Jun 12, 23:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$6.75Jun 12, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$7.25Jun 12, 23:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$7.17Jun 12, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$13.46Jun 12, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$41.43Jun 12, 23:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$6.42Jun 12, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$14.49Jun 12, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$20.83Jun 12, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$10.22Jun 12, 23:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$51.54Jun 12, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$41.40Jun 12, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$21.28Jun 12, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$20.69Jun 12, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$33.17Jun 12, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$31.05Jun 12, 23:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $16.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 22:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 17:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.