Awesome-Lottery
0x85c06787486a90e05ba1df96c034ef95c8cce01d
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$3.32
Total PnL
$-6.6K
Realised
$26.23
Win rate
62%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
1000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.50
$-5.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 21?
550 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.28
$-28.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 21?
549 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.27
$-48.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on July 21?
535 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.27
$-25.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 26?
3407 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.69
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 80°F or higher on March 28?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on March 26?
2145 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-7.42
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 30?
1813 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 21?
1578 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-33.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or higher on December 14?
1500 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-13.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 22?$7.60Jul 21, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 22?$0.30Jul 21, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 22?$6.74Jul 21, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 22?$5.92Jul 21, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 22?$15.71Jul 21, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 22?$13.04Jul 21, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 22?$6.90Jul 21, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 22?$0.30Jul 21, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 22?$1.18Jul 21, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 22?$15.45Jul 21, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 22?$0.90Jul 21, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 22?$10.07Jul 21, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 22?$46.69Jul 21, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 21?$20.24Jul 21, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 21?$1.50Jul 21, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 21?$12.65Jul 21, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 21?$5.23Jul 21, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on July 21?$5.35Jul 21, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on July 21?$1.59Jul 21, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on July 21?$8.86Jul 21, 13:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
62% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $8.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 21:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 21:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.