Inferior-Malnutrition
0x85c16002a7b419c0746fba616033ccc24f01048c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-105.81
Realised
$-2.48
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Elio win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
2000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Train Dreams - Train Dreams win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?
1099 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
- YES
Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Joachim Trier win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Sweet Dreams of Joy - Viva Verdi win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Dear Me - Diane Warren: Relentless win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Josh Safdie win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Kate Hudson win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Hamnet" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?$0.07Mar 15, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Hamnet" win 6 or more awards at the Oscars?$0.18Mar 13, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Train Dreams - Train Dreams win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.00Mar 13, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dear Me - Diane Warren: Relentless win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Mar 13, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Hamnet" win 6 or more awards at the Oscars?$0.60Mar 13, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Little Amelie or the Character of Rain win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.08Mar 12, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marty Supreme win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.15Mar 12, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frankenstein win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.08Mar 12, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elle Fanning win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.27Mar 12, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elle Fanning win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 12, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elle Fanning win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.48Mar 12, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frankenstein win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.01Mar 12, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elle Fanning win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.01Mar 12, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marty Supreme win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.77Mar 12, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frankenstein win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.69Mar 12, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elle Fanning win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.36Mar 12, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elle Fanning win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.36Mar 12, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emma Stone win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.10Mar 12, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emma Stone win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.24Mar 12, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Train Dreams - Train Dreams win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.30Mar 12, 11:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 11:39 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 08:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.